The 2020 Presidential Election Will Be Decided in September
Many people point to October as the most critical time as the month before the presidential election. However, in the 2020 Campaign, the most critical few weeks will be from after right Labor Day until the end of September. If Joe Biden can keep the race where it is now, it should largely be over by the time October rolls around no matter what rabbit Donald Trump tries to pull out of his hat. Given the events that will be happening in September, there is a good chance that Biden will maintain and possibly add to his lead.
Early Voting Will Shake Up the Election Like in No Other Year
More so than any other year, the 2020 election is happening over an extended period of time. We are likely to see early voting in historic numbers as people will try to avoid the same horrors that they saw on television in Wisconsin, where people risked their lives to cast a vote at the chaotic polling stations. The Democrats' ground game will be in overdrive trying to reach voters and get them to the polls at the first possible opportunity. Moreover, aware of President Trump's effort to "kneecap" the Postal Service, Democrats will have their own voting plan and will be trying to get their ballots in early.
Donald Trump knows this, and this is why he is wasting no efforts to throw every single gaslight and distraction into the race during what will be a critical time. There is speculation that his campaign is in some financial difficulty as his television advertisements have largely disappeared from the airwaves while Biden has more of a presence. After all, there are only so many checks that you can write to Trump children and their partners and still have money to advertise.
Voting in the Midwestern battleground states can begin as early as 50 days before the election. The election will be decided in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin as Hillary Clinton could tell you. At the same time, voters are requesting and returning absentee ballots.
Fresh Trump Scandals Are Coming Soon to a Theater Near You
These voters will be greeted by a whole fresh set of Trump scandals to chew on when they are casting their votes. First up is Michael Cohen's book, which will be released on September 8. This is the first thing that many voters will hear about when they really begin to pay attention to the race. Next up are two milestones on September. The first is the release of Bob Woodward's book that will have some inside details about Trump's response, or lack thereof, to the COVID-19 pandemic. Then, each candidate will have their own town hall with American voters where Trump will take direct questions from voters. These are people who Trump cannot belittle with nasty responses when he gets a question that he does not appreciate like he does with the White House Press Corps. That will be alongside Joe Biden's empathy at his own town hall, giving voters a distinct contrast between the two candidates at a high-profile event.
This is when the race will be decided. A majority of Americans will cast their votes well before Election Day. Trump is a closer who overcame a large deficit in October in 2016 to win a shocking victory. However, he is missing several things that he had working for him last time around that tilted the race in his favor. There will be no campaign rallies with crazed supporters chanting for his opponent to be thrown in jail. There will also be no James Comey to throw the election into chaos a week before votes are cast. Here, his bed will mostly be made by the time that September ends.
You should get a sense of how desperate Trump is at the first debate at the end of September. Even though it is the first debate, it may actually be his last chance to salvage his reelection, which is increasingly imperiled by the day. This will happen at the end of what is shaping up to be a brutal month for Trump and anyone can only imagine what tricks he may try to pull in order to change the conversation. Trump may even bring some stage props with him to the debate, so he can perform a pardon or a nationalization ceremony right there on the debate stage.